ARMA and Neural Net comparisons

Station Interval Method Testing Validation

Skelton 6 hr ARMA .22 .13

Neural .12 .11

12 hr ARMA .66 .49

Neural .34 .28

Kilgram 6 hr ARMA .79 .73

Neural .32 .37

12 hr ARMA 1.18 1.09

Neural .44 .56