Andy Turner's MoSeS Meeting 2006-06-16 Page

Andy Turner's MoSeS Home Page

People

• Mark
• Andy

Documentation

• Andy Turner's MoSeS Meeting 2006-05-23 Page
• Mark Birkin's Population Reconstruction Model Word Document 2006-06-16

Notes

• Impromptu Modelling Meeting: To Talk About Getting the Model Going
• No computers were allowed to begin with
• On discussing what needs to be done it became clear that Mark and Andy had different ideas about what was going on!
  • Mark was under the impression that Version 3 of the population initialisation was to operate only on households alone, whereas, Andy thought it was still to deal with Communal Establishment (CE) populations
  • Andy and Mark scrambled for documentation
  • Andy produced a print out of Andy Turner's MoSeS Meeting 2006-05-23 Page Version 0.1.1
  • Mark emailed a copy of 2006-05-23MBDocument.doc
  • It was made clear that Mark's document was the one that detailed what Version 3 was to be
  • So, how to operationalise it?
    • How to control (constrain) and optimise for household population counts using CAS data?
• Upon re-inspection of the Census CAS data it again became clear that handling CE populations was probably the most appropriate way forward - as most of the variables wanted to be used in optimisation are only available for population counts (which include CE populations), not household population counts
• Mark produced a copy of 2006-05-23MBDocument.doc which he had edited during the meeting on 2006-05-23 (laterly this was emailed on request and is stored as Mark Birkin's Population Reconstruction Model Word Document 2006-06-16)
• It was decided that Andy would continue with what he had envisaged. The next tasks ahead are as follows:
  • The aggregated MSOA tables are to be merged into a single table
  • A convenience method written so that households populations (sets of HSAR records) for HRPs of specific age can be obtained easily
  • A data handler written for CAS003 so that age profile optimisation can be done for age breakdowns of household and CE populations
  • Optimisation and control constraints for age need re-working to take account of the difference in age grouping in the HSAR
• It is still uncertain how long the program will take to develop and run
• Significant development of code should be made in the next week.
• It is not urgent to develop results for 2006-07-13 Meeting with Mike Davidge and Mike Robinson at East Leeds PCT. This meeting can be based on other work.
• To wow Mike Robinson et al we really need a map of estimated LLTI change or something health related like that for 5-10 years hence. Clearly this requires not only the initialisation of the population, but also the dynamic simulation.

Actions

• Andy is to report on progress by email on 2006-06-22
• Andy is to communicate with Mark if any major problems are encountered in the mean time